Boise State vs Idaho 11/12/2010

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 99% of simulations over Idaho. Kellen Moore is averaging 307 passing yards and 3.56 TDs per simulation and Doug Martin is projected for 131 rushing yards and a 85% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 1% of simulations where Idaho wins, Nathan Enderle averages 1.5 TD passes vs 0.8 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.5 TDs to 1.09 interceptions. Deonte' Jackson averages 60 rushing yards and 0.43 rushing TDs when Idaho wins and 43 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 51% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 99% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ID +38 --- Over/Under line is 73

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